It was a strange mix of moods at the Marrakesh climate talks today, following Donald Trump’s victory in the US presidential election.
Some were defiant. Others despaired. And some were going about their business as if nothing had happened.
This is odd given that president-elect Trump has threatened to “cancel” the Paris climate agreement, which saw 195 nations agree to phase out the use of fossil fuels — an agreement that the Marrakesh talks are now trying to put into action.
The vote by the UK electorate to leave the EU has a number of important medium-term implications for EU climate policy.
“Old endgame lost of old, play and lose and have done with losing.”
Samuel Beckett, Endgame
“… many players are able to play quite well in the opening and middle game but feel helpless when they reach the endgame.”
Expert Chess Strategies.com
It might seem a long way off, but large fossil fuel firms and those who make a living from observing and reporting on them are starting to think about the endgame.
Shell has just published for the first time a scenario that lays out a pathway broadly consistent with the aim of keeping global warming to 2°C this century.
The EU faces an internal rift over its climate ambition. And not because of the potential for Brexit — although this could also cause problems — but because, following the historic Paris agreement, some countries want to go much further in terms of emissions reductions than others.